BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Arlington Starmont

Class: A Class Rank: 48 Conference: A-4 Record: (8-20-0) Overall: (28-65-0) Overall Strength =   55.88

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 08/26/2011 Away    W     100.47  37   0    A 42 ( 40- 53-  0) East Buchanan          44.42     -7.42                      
 2 09/02/2011 Home    W     102.73  45   0    A 46 ( 39- 55-  0) Edgewood-Colesburg     46.67     -1.67                      
 3 09/09/2011 Away    W * *  96.54  43  13    A 33 ( 41- 53-  0) Guttenberg CR          40.48    -10.48                      
 4 09/16/2011 Home    W      84.66  47  14   1A 46 ( 14- 73-  0) Goose Lake Northeast   28.61      4.39                      
 5 09/23/2011 Away    W      83.91  24  16    A 18 ( 61- 38-  0) Maquoketa Valley       27.86    -19.86                      
 6 09/30/2011 Home    W      94.75  46  12    A 37 ( 41- 51-  0) North Linn             38.70     -4.70                      
 7 10/07/2011 Away    L      69.01  12  20    8  8 ( 72- 30-  0) Turkey Valley          12.96    -20.96                      
 8 10/14/2011 Home    W      78.17  38  34    A 15 ( 60- 35-  0) Bellevue               22.11    -18.11                      
 9 10/21/2011 Home    L * *  64.78   7  26    A  6 ( 78- 29-  0) Wapsie Valley           8.73    -27.73                      
10 10/26/2011 Away    L      56.05   7  42   1A  4 ( 84- 23-  0) West Branch            -0.00    -35.00                      
11 08/24/2012 Away    L      55.91   8  28    A 18 ( 61- 38-  0) Maquoketa Valley       -0.14    -19.86                      
12 08/31/2012 Home    W * *  69.97  21  14    A 33 ( 41- 53-  0) Guttenberg CR          13.91     -6.91                      
13 09/07/2012 Home    W      58.15  26  20    A 49 ( 29- 62-  0) Greene North Butler     2.09      3.91                      
14 09/14/2012 Away    W     123.01  60  14    8  8 ( 72- 30-  0) Turkey Valley          66.96    -20.96                      
15 09/21/2012 Away    W * *  78.13  43  12    A 54 ( 23- 70-  0) Postville              22.08      8.92                      
16 09/28/2012 Home    W     110.73  59   6    A 46 ( 39- 55-  0) Edgewood-Colesburg     54.67     -1.67                      
17 10/05/2012 Home    W      79.75  39  20    A 37 ( 41- 51-  0) North Linn             23.70     -4.70                      
18 10/12/2012 Away    L * *  64.35  12  35    A  6 ( 78- 29-  0) Wapsie Valley           8.30    -31.30                      
19 10/19/2012 Home    W     113.90  54   0    A 42 ( 40- 53-  0) East Buchanan          57.85     -3.85                      
20 10/24/2012 Home    W     101.89  51  14    A 31 ( 53- 42-  0) Belle Plaine           45.84     -8.84                      
21 10/29/2012 Away    L      41.16  12  35    A 40 ( 49- 48-  0) Traer North Tama      -14.89     -8.11                      
22 08/30/2013 Home    L      58.34  14  28    A 18 ( 61- 38-  0) Maquoketa Valley        2.29    -16.29  ND                  
23 09/06/2013 Away    L * *  36.54   6  36    A 33 ( 41- 53-  0) Guttenberg CR         -19.52    -10.48  ND                  
24 09/13/2013 Away    W      61.72  26  20    A 49 ( 29- 62-  0) Greene North Butler     5.66      0.34                      
25 09/20/2013 Home    L      65.44   6  14    8  8 ( 72- 30-  0) Turkey Valley           9.39    -17.39                      
26 09/27/2013 Home    W * *  78.56  42   7    A 54 ( 23- 70-  0) Postville              22.51     12.49                      
27 10/04/2013 Away    W      97.30  36   0    A 46 ( 39- 55-  0) Edgewood-Colesburg     41.25     -5.25                      
28 10/11/2013 Away    W     100.32  48  12    A 37 ( 41- 51-  0) North Linn             44.27     -8.27                      
29 10/18/2013 Home    L * *  51.78  10  42    A  6 ( 78- 29-  0) Wapsie Valley          -4.27    -27.73                      
30 10/25/2013 Away    W     138.47  75   0    A 42 ( 40- 53-  0) East Buchanan          82.42     -7.42                      
31 10/30/2013 Away    L      39.08  13  53    A 14 ( 62- 39-  0) Grundy Center         -16.97    -23.03                      
32 08/29/2014 Away    L * *  71.35  12  28    A  6 ( 78- 29-  0) Wapsie Valley          15.30    -31.30                      
33 09/05/2014 Home    L * *  56.97   8  14    A 33 ( 41- 53-  0) Guttenberg CR           0.91     -6.91                      
34 09/12/2014 Away    L      58.32  36  42 1  A 37 ( 41- 51-  0) North Linn              2.27     -8.27                      
35 09/19/2014 Home    W      65.26  28  22    8 25 ( 39- 38-  0) Easton Valley           9.20     -3.20                      
36 09/26/2014 Away    W      75.47  32  20    A 42 ( 40- 53-  0) East Buchanan          19.42     -7.42                      
37 10/03/2014 Home    L      50.20  18  45    A 12 ( 71- 35-  0) Lisbon                 -5.86    -21.14                      
38 10/10/2014 Home    L      27.34   7  52    A 18 ( 61- 38-  0) Maquoketa Valley      -28.71    -16.29                      
39 10/17/2014 Away    W * *  81.13  40   6    A 54 ( 23- 70-  0) Postville              25.08      8.92                      
40 10/24/2014 Home    L      50.73  27  34    A 46 ( 39- 55-  0) Edgewood-Colesburg     -5.33     -1.67                      
41 08/29/2015 Home    L * *  66.78   0  17    A  6 ( 78- 29-  0) Wapsie Valley          10.73    -27.73  was 08/28 now 08/29 AND  ND
42 09/04/2015 Away    L * *  29.54   0  37    A 33 ( 41- 53-  0) Guttenberg CR         -26.52    -10.48  ND                  
43 09/11/2015 Home    L      24.75   8  44    A 37 ( 41- 51-  0) North Linn            -31.30     -4.70                      
44 09/19/2015 Away    L      29.83   6  39    8 25 ( 39- 38-  0) Easton Valley         -26.23     -6.77  was 09/18 now 09/19 
45 09/25/2015 Home    L      24.90  12  47    A 42 ( 40- 53-  0) East Buchanan         -31.15     -3.85                      
46 10/02/2015 Away    L      40.77   8  48    A 12 ( 71- 35-  0) Lisbon                -15.28    -24.72                      
47 10/09/2015 Away    L      46.91  34  63    A 18 ( 61- 38-  0) Maquoketa Valley       -9.14    -19.86                      
48 10/16/2015 Home    W * * 103.56  60   0    A 54 ( 23- 70-  0) Postville              47.51     12.49                      
49 10/23/2015 Away    L      38.30  12  35    A 46 ( 39- 55-  0) Edgewood-Colesburg    -17.75     -5.25                      
50 08/26/2016 Home    L      47.15  13  18    A 49 ( 29- 62-  0) Greene North Butler    -8.91      3.91  ND                  
51 09/02/2016 Away    L      52.91  14  37    A 18 ( 61- 38-  0) Maquoketa Valley       -3.14    -19.86  ND                  
52 09/09/2016 Home    L      42.20   0  35    A 12 ( 71- 35-  0) Lisbon                -13.86    -21.14                      
53 09/16/2016 Home    W * *  54.56  34  23    A 54 ( 23- 70-  0) Postville              -1.49     12.49                      
54 09/23/2016 Away    W      78.93  21  14    A 25 ( 53- 43-  0) Alburnett              22.87    -15.87                      
55 09/30/2016 Away    L      48.30   7  20    A 46 ( 39- 55-  0) Edgewood-Colesburg     -7.75     -5.25                      
56 10/07/2016 Home    L * *  50.78   7  40    A  6 ( 78- 29-  0) Wapsie Valley          -5.27    -27.73                      
57 10/14/2016 Home    L      29.75  21  52    A 37 ( 41- 51-  0) North Linn            -26.30     -4.70                      
58 10/21/2016 Away    L      18.47   7  52    A 42 ( 40- 53-  0) East Buchanan         -37.58     -7.42                      
59 08/25/2017 Away    L      41.72   7  21    A 49 ( 29- 62-  0) Greene North Butler   -14.34      0.34  ND                  
60 09/01/2017 Home    L      34.34  22  60    A 18 ( 61- 38-  0) Maquoketa Valley      -21.71    -16.29  ND                  
61 09/08/2017 Away    L      63.77   0  17    A 12 ( 71- 35-  0) Lisbon                  7.72    -24.72  Forfeit             
62 09/15/2017 Away    L * *  31.13  21  37    A 54 ( 23- 70-  0) Postville             -24.92      8.92                      
63 09/22/2017 Home    L      25.36  12  55    A 25 ( 53- 43-  0) Alburnett             -30.70    -12.30                      
64 09/29/2017 Home    L      40.73   0  17    A 46 ( 39- 55-  0) Edgewood-Colesburg    -15.33     -1.67  Forfeit             
65 10/06/2017 Away    L * *  53.35   0  34    A  6 ( 78- 29-  0) Wapsie Valley          -2.70    -31.30  Game Called in the 3 rd Qtr
66 10/13/2017 Away    L      36.32   6  34    A 37 ( 41- 51-  0) North Linn            -19.73     -8.27                      
67 10/20/2017 Home    L      -2.10   0  62    A 42 ( 40- 53-  0) East Buchanan         -58.15     -3.85                      
68 08/24/2018 Home    L       8.75   0  52    A 37 ( 41- 51-  0) North Linn            -47.30     -4.70  ND                  
69 08/31/2018 Away    L       3.30   0  58    A 46 ( 39- 55-  0) Edgewood-Colesburg    -52.75     -5.25  ND                  
70 09/07/2018 Home    L      45.26   6  54    A  2 ( 95- 18-  0) Saint Ansgar          -10.79    -37.21                      
71 09/14/2018 Away    L * *  42.56   0  49    A  3 ( 79- 28-  0) South Winneshiek      -13.49    -35.51                      
72 09/21/2018 Home    L      55.88   0   2    A 22 ( 54- 45-  0) Mason City Newman       0.00 X  -13.72  pre-game forfeit    
73 09/28/2018 Away    L      55.88   0   2   1A 47 ( 26- 65-  0) Manly Central Spring    0.00 X    3.79  pre-game forfeit    
74 10/05/2018 Away    L * *  55.88   0   2    A 54 ( 23- 70-  0) Postville               0.00 X    8.92  pre-game forfeit    
75 10/12/2018 Home    L      58.01   0   2    A 41 ( 43- 56-  0) Nashua-Plainfield       1.96     -3.96  Forfeit             
76 10/19/2018 Home    L      27.96   0   2    8 59 ( 13- 77-  0) Garwin GMG            -28.09     26.09  Forfeit ND          
77 08/30/2019 Away    L      11.32   0  53    A 37 ( 41- 51-  0) North Linn            -44.73     -8.27  ND                  
78 09/06/2019 Home    L      17.73   0  40    A 46 ( 39- 55-  0) Edgewood-Colesburg    -38.33     -1.67  ND                  
79 09/13/2019 Away    L      36.84   0  60    A  2 ( 95- 18-  0) Saint Ansgar          -19.22    -40.78                      
80 09/20/2019 Home    L * *  44.99   0  43    A  3 ( 79- 28-  0) South Winneshiek      -11.06    -31.94                      
81 09/27/2019 Away    L      43.34  12  42    A 22 ( 54- 45-  0) Mason City Newman     -12.71    -17.29                      
82 10/04/2019 Away    W      54.26   8   6   1A 47 ( 26- 65-  0) Manly Central Spring   -1.79      3.79                      
83 10/11/2019 Away    L * *  -5.87   0  53    A 54 ( 23- 70-  0) Postville             -61.92      8.92                      
84 10/18/2019 Away    L      57.58   8  14    A 41 ( 43- 56-  0) Nashua-Plainfield       1.53     -7.53                      
85 10/25/2019 Away    L      27.53  20  26    8 59 ( 13- 77-  0) Garwin GMG            -28.52     22.52  ND                  
86 08/28/2020 Away    L      55.47  12  20    A 42 ( 40- 53-  0) East Buchanan          -0.58     -7.42  ND                  
87 09/04/2020 Home    L      43.73   0  14    A 46 ( 39- 55-  0) Edgewood-Colesburg    -12.33     -1.67  ND                  
88 09/11/2020 Away    W * *  63.13  16   0    A 54 ( 23- 70-  0) Postville               7.08      8.92  ND                  
89 09/18/2020 Away    L * *  67.35   8  28    A  6 ( 78- 29-  0) Wapsie Valley          11.30    -31.30                      
90 09/25/2020 Away    L * *  35.52  14  40    A 45 ( 34- 60-  0) Monona MFL-MarMac     -20.53     -5.47  ND                  
91 10/02/2020 Away    L * *  63.54   6   9    A 33 ( 41- 53-  0) Guttenberg CR           7.48    -10.48                      
92 10/09/2020 Away    L * *  56.56   0  35    A  3 ( 79- 28-  0) South Winneshiek        0.51    -35.51                      
93 10/16/2020 Away    L * *  29.35   0  58    A  6 ( 78- 29-  0) Wapsie Valley         -26.70    -31.30                      
      Averages              55.88  17.4 27.7

Best game:  138.47 = 75 point win over Winthrop East Buchanan
Worst game:  -5.87 = 53 point loss to Postville
Team stdev:  27.67