BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Arlington Starmont

Class: A Class Rank: 49 Conference: A-4 Record: (8-20-0) Overall: (28-65-0) Overall Strength =   55.77

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/26/2011 Away    W   100.33  37   0    A  43 ( 40- 53-  0) East Buchanan          44.44     -7.44                      
  2 09/02/2011 Home    W   102.62  45   0    A  47 ( 39- 55-  0) Edgewood-Colesburg     46.73     -1.73                      
  3 09/09/2011 Away    W *  96.41  43  13    A  34 ( 41- 53-  0) Guttenberg CR          40.52    -10.52                      
  4 09/16/2011 Home    W    84.56  47  14   1A  46 ( 14- 73-  0) Goose Lake Northeast   28.67      4.33                      
  5 09/23/2011 Away    W    83.77  24  16    A  19 ( 61- 38-  0) Maquoketa Valley       27.88    -19.88                      
  6 09/30/2011 Home    W    94.62  46  12    A  38 ( 41- 51-  0) North Linn             38.73     -4.73                      
  7 10/07/2011 Away    L    68.86  12  20    8   9 ( 72- 30-  0) Turkey Valley          12.97    -20.97                      
  8 10/14/2011 Home    W    78.06  38  34    A  16 ( 60- 35-  0) Bellevue               22.17    -18.17                      
  9 10/21/2011 Home    L *  64.67   7  26    A   7 ( 78- 29-  0) Wapsie Valley           8.78    -27.78                      
 10 10/26/2011 Away    L    55.92   7  42   1A   5 ( 84- 23-  0) West Branch             0.03    -35.03                      
 11 08/24/2012 Away    L    55.77   8  28    A  19 ( 61- 38-  0) Maquoketa Valley       -0.12    -19.88                      
 12 08/31/2012 Home    W *  69.86  21  14    A  34 ( 41- 53-  0) Guttenberg CR          13.97     -6.97                      
 13 09/07/2012 Home    W    58.07  26  20    A  50 ( 29- 62-  0) Greene North Butler     2.18      3.82                      
 14 09/14/2012 Away    W   122.86  60  14    8   9 ( 72- 30-  0) Turkey Valley          66.97    -20.97                      
 15 09/21/2012 Away    W *  78.11  43  12    A  55 ( 23- 70-  0) Postville              22.22      8.78                      
 16 09/28/2012 Home    W   110.62  59   6    A  47 ( 39- 55-  0) Edgewood-Colesburg     54.73     -1.73                      
 17 10/05/2012 Home    W    79.62  39  20    A  38 ( 41- 51-  0) North Linn             23.73     -4.73                      
 18 10/12/2012 Away    L *  64.21  12  35    A   7 ( 78- 29-  0) Wapsie Valley           8.32    -31.32                      
 19 10/19/2012 Home    W   113.79  54   0    A  43 ( 40- 53-  0) East Buchanan          57.90     -3.90                      
 20 10/24/2012 Home    W   101.79  51  14    A  32 ( 53- 42-  0) Belle Plaine           45.90     -8.90                      
 21 10/29/2012 Away    L    40.74  12  35    A  41 ( 49- 48-  0) Traer North Tama      -15.15     -7.85                      
 22 08/30/2013 Home    L    58.23  14  28    A  19 ( 61- 38-  0) Maquoketa Valley        2.34    -16.34  ND                  
 23 09/06/2013 Away    L *  36.41   6  36    A  34 ( 41- 53-  0) Guttenberg CR         -19.48    -10.52  ND                  
 24 09/13/2013 Away    W    61.61  26  20    A  50 ( 29- 62-  0) Greene North Butler     5.72      0.28                      
 25 09/20/2013 Home    L    65.32   6  14    8   9 ( 72- 30-  0) Turkey Valley           9.43    -17.43                      
 26 09/27/2013 Home    W *  78.57  42   7    A  55 ( 23- 70-  0) Postville              22.68     12.32                      
 27 10/04/2013 Away    W    97.16  36   0    A  47 ( 39- 55-  0) Edgewood-Colesburg     41.27     -5.27                      
 28 10/11/2013 Away    W   100.17  48  12    A  38 ( 41- 51-  0) North Linn             44.27     -8.27                      
 29 10/18/2013 Home    L *  51.67  10  42    A   7 ( 78- 29-  0) Wapsie Valley          -4.22    -27.78                      
 30 10/25/2013 Away    W   138.33  75   0    A  43 ( 40- 53-  0) East Buchanan          82.44     -7.44                      
 31 10/30/2013 Away    L    38.94  13  53    A  15 ( 62- 39-  0) Grundy Center         -16.95    -23.05                      
 32 08/29/2014 Away    L *  71.21  12  28    A   7 ( 78- 29-  0) Wapsie Valley          15.32    -31.32                      
 33 09/05/2014 Home    L *  56.86   8  14    A  34 ( 41- 53-  0) Guttenberg CR           0.97     -6.97                      
 34 09/12/2014 Away    L    58.17  36  42 1  A  38 ( 41- 51-  0) North Linn              2.27     -8.27                      
 35 09/19/2014 Home    W    65.15  28  22    8  25 ( 39- 38-  0) Easton Valley           9.26     -3.26                      
 36 09/26/2014 Away    W    75.33  32  20    A  43 ( 40- 53-  0) East Buchanan          19.44     -7.44                      
 37 10/03/2014 Home    L    50.08  18  45    A  13 ( 71- 35-  0) Lisbon                 -5.81    -21.19                      
 38 10/10/2014 Home    L    27.23   7  52    A  19 ( 61- 38-  0) Maquoketa Valley      -28.66    -16.34                      
 39 10/17/2014 Away    W *  81.11  40   6    A  55 ( 23- 70-  0) Postville              25.22      8.78                      
 40 10/24/2014 Home    L    50.62  27  34    A  47 ( 39- 55-  0) Edgewood-Colesburg     -5.27     -1.73                      
 41 08/29/2015 Home    L *  66.67   0  17    A   7 ( 78- 29-  0) Wapsie Valley          10.78    -27.78  was 08/28 now 08/29 AND  ND
 42 09/04/2015 Away    L *  29.41   0  37    A  34 ( 41- 53-  0) Guttenberg CR         -26.48    -10.52  ND                  
 43 09/11/2015 Home    L    24.62   8  44    A  38 ( 41- 51-  0) North Linn            -31.27     -4.73                      
 44 09/19/2015 Away    L    29.70   6  39    8  25 ( 39- 38-  0) Easton Valley         -26.19     -6.81  was 09/18 now 09/19 
 45 09/25/2015 Home    L    24.79  12  47    A  43 ( 40- 53-  0) East Buchanan         -31.10     -3.90                      
 46 10/02/2015 Away    L    40.62   8  48    A  13 ( 71- 35-  0) Lisbon                -15.27    -24.73                      
 47 10/09/2015 Away    L    46.77  34  63    A  19 ( 61- 38-  0) Maquoketa Valley       -9.12    -19.88                      
 48 10/16/2015 Home    W * 103.57  60   0    A  55 ( 23- 70-  0) Postville              47.68     12.32                      
 49 10/23/2015 Away    L    38.16  12  35    A  47 ( 39- 55-  0) Edgewood-Colesburg    -17.73     -5.27                      
 50 08/26/2016 Home    L    47.07  13  18    A  50 ( 29- 62-  0) Greene North Butler    -8.82      3.82  ND                  
 51 09/02/2016 Away    L    52.77  14  37    A  19 ( 61- 38-  0) Maquoketa Valley       -3.12    -19.88  ND                  
 52 09/09/2016 Home    L    42.08   0  35    A  13 ( 71- 35-  0) Lisbon                -13.81    -21.19                      
 53 09/16/2016 Home    W *  54.57  34  23    A  55 ( 23- 70-  0) Postville              -1.32     12.32                      
 54 09/23/2016 Away    W    78.79  21  14    A  26 ( 53- 43-  0) Alburnett              22.90    -15.90                      
 55 09/30/2016 Away    L    48.16   7  20    A  47 ( 39- 55-  0) Edgewood-Colesburg     -7.73     -5.27                      
 56 10/07/2016 Home    L *  50.67   7  40    A   7 ( 78- 29-  0) Wapsie Valley          -5.22    -27.78                      
 57 10/14/2016 Home    L    29.62  21  52    A  38 ( 41- 51-  0) North Linn            -26.27     -4.73                      
 58 10/21/2016 Away    L    18.33   7  52    A  43 ( 40- 53-  0) East Buchanan         -37.56     -7.44                      
 59 08/25/2017 Away    L    41.61   7  21    A  50 ( 29- 62-  0) Greene North Butler   -14.28      0.28  ND                  
 60 09/01/2017 Home    L    34.23  22  60    A  19 ( 61- 38-  0) Maquoketa Valley      -21.66    -16.34  ND                  
 61 09/08/2017 Away    L    63.62   0  17    A  13 ( 71- 35-  0) Lisbon                  7.73    -24.73  Forfeit             
 62 09/15/2017 Away    L *  31.11  21  37    A  55 ( 23- 70-  0) Postville             -24.78      8.78                      
 63 09/22/2017 Home    L    25.25  12  55    A  26 ( 53- 43-  0) Alburnett             -30.64    -12.36                      
 64 09/29/2017 Home    L    40.62   0  17    A  47 ( 39- 55-  0) Edgewood-Colesburg    -15.27     -1.73  Forfeit             
 65 10/06/2017 Away    L *  53.21   0  34    A   7 ( 78- 29-  0) Wapsie Valley          -2.68    -31.32  Game Called in the 3 rd Qtr
 66 10/13/2017 Away    L    36.17   6  34    A  38 ( 41- 51-  0) North Linn            -19.73     -8.27                      
 67 10/20/2017 Home    L    -2.21   0  62    A  43 ( 40- 53-  0) East Buchanan         -58.10     -3.90                      
 68 08/24/2018 Home    L     8.62   0  52    A  38 ( 41- 51-  0) North Linn            -47.27     -4.73  ND                  
 69 08/31/2018 Away    L     3.16   0  58    A  47 ( 39- 55-  0) Edgewood-Colesburg    -52.73     -5.27  ND                  
 70 09/07/2018 Home    L    45.18   6  54    A   3 ( 95- 18-  0) Saint Ansgar          -10.71    -37.29                      
 71 09/14/2018 Away    L *  42.44   0  49    A   4 ( 79- 28-  0) South Winneshiek      -13.45    -35.55                      
 72 09/21/2018 Home    L    67.57   0   2    A  23 ( 54- 45-  0) Mason City Newman      11.68    -13.68  pre-game forfeit    
 73 09/28/2018 Away    L    50.23   0   2   1A  47 ( 26- 65-  0) Manly Central Spring   -5.66      3.66  pre-game forfeit    
 74 10/05/2018 Away    L *  45.11   0   2    A  55 ( 23- 70-  0) Postville             -10.78      8.78  pre-game forfeit    
 75 10/12/2018 Home    L    57.94   0   2    A  42 ( 43- 56-  0) Nashua-Plainfield       2.05     -4.05  Forfeit             
 76 10/19/2018 Home    L    28.17   0   2    8  59 ( 13- 77-  0) Garwin GMG            -27.73     25.73  Forfeit ND          
 77 08/30/2019 Away    L    11.17   0  53    A  38 ( 41- 51-  0) North Linn            -44.73     -8.27  ND                  
 78 09/06/2019 Home    L    17.62   0  40    A  47 ( 39- 55-  0) Edgewood-Colesburg    -38.27     -1.73  ND                  
 79 09/13/2019 Away    L    36.73   0  60    A   3 ( 95- 18-  0) Saint Ansgar          -19.16    -40.84                      
 80 09/20/2019 Home    L *  44.90   0  43    A   4 ( 79- 28-  0) South Winneshiek      -10.99    -32.01                      
 81 09/27/2019 Away    L    43.12  12  42    A  23 ( 54- 45-  0) Mason City Newman     -12.78    -17.22                      
 82 10/04/2019 Away    W    54.23   8   6   1A  47 ( 26- 65-  0) Manly Central Spring   -1.66      3.66                      
 83 10/11/2019 Away    L *  -5.89   0  53    A  55 ( 23- 70-  0) Postville             -61.78      8.78                      
 84 10/18/2019 Away    L    57.48   8  14    A  42 ( 43- 56-  0) Nashua-Plainfield       1.59     -7.59                      
 85 10/25/2019 Away    L    27.71  20  26    8  59 ( 13- 77-  0) Garwin GMG            -28.18     22.18  ND                  
 86 08/28/2020 Away    L    55.33  12  20    A  43 ( 40- 53-  0) East Buchanan          -0.56     -7.44  ND                  
 87 09/04/2020 Home    L    43.62   0  14    A  47 ( 39- 55-  0) Edgewood-Colesburg    -12.27     -1.73  ND                  
 88 09/11/2020 Away    W *  63.11  16   0    A  55 ( 23- 70-  0) Postville               7.22      8.78  ND                  
 89 09/18/2020 Away    L *  67.21   8  28    A   7 ( 78- 29-  0) Wapsie Valley          11.32    -31.32                      
 90 09/25/2020 Away    L *  35.41  14  40    A  46 ( 34- 60-  0) Monona MFL-MarMac     -20.48     -5.52  ND                  
 91 10/02/2020 Away    L *  63.41   6   9    A  34 ( 41- 53-  0) Guttenberg CR           7.52    -10.52                      
 92 10/09/2020 Away    L *  56.44   0  35    A   4 ( 79- 28-  0) South Winneshiek        0.55    -35.55                      
 93 10/16/2020 Away    L *  29.21   0  58    A   7 ( 78- 29-  0) Wapsie Valley         -26.68    -31.32                      
      Averages              55.77  17.4 27.7

Best game:  138.33 = 75 point win over Winthrop East Buchanan
Worst game:  -5.89 = 53 point loss to Postville
Team stdev:  27.66